Current Poll Of Polls

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General Election Prediction for Britain

Current Poll-of-Polls

July 2024

A projection of how the UK would vote if a General Election would be held today based on current polling weighted by recency and historic pollster accuracy.

Prediction Method

Based on 10000 simulations in which a general election was held, the prediction excludes Northern Ireland and is based on opinion polls from 21 Jun 2024 to 26 Jun 2024 sampling.

Interactive Model

Use our model to estimate the result in every constituency using the latest polls or what you think the result will be.

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