2024 Presidential Election: Early Predictions and Contenders
Current Electoral College Ratings
According to the Cook Political Report, the current electoral college ratings for the 2024 presidential election are as follows:
Democratic-held states (218 electoral votes):
* California * New York * Illinois * Massachusetts * Pennsylvania * New Jersey * Connecticut * Rhode Island * Delaware * Maryland * Maine * Vermont * New Hampshire * Minnesota * Wisconsin * Washington * Oregon * Nevada * Colorado * New Mexico
Republican-held states (274 electoral votes):
* Texas * Florida * Ohio * Georgia * North Carolina * Indiana * Tennessee * Alabama * Mississippi * Louisiana * Kentucky * Arkansas * Oklahoma * Kansas * Nebraska * Wyoming * Montana * Idaho * Utah * Arizona * West Virginia * South Dakota * North Dakota * Missouri * Iowa
Toss-up states (46 electoral votes):
* Michigan * Virginia * Pennsylvania * Wisconsin * Iowa * Florida * Georgia * Ohio
Early Predictions
While it is still early in the 2024 presidential election season, FiveThirtyEight has conducted an analysis using polling, economic, and demographic data to explore likely election outcomes. According to their model, Donald Trump is currently favored to win the election, with a 52% chance of victory. However, the race is still highly competitive, and there are several other contenders who have a significant chance of winning.
Conclusion
The 2024 presidential election is shaping up to be one of the most closely contested in recent history. With several viable candidates and a highly volatile political environment, the outcome of the election is far from certain. As the campaign progresses, it will be important to pay attention to the latest polls and developments, as the race for the White House could come down to the very last minute.
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2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map
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